So, I was going to wait until after finals to re-start Cheeto Dust, furiously post for two days, realize I have nothing to say, and close up shop all over again - but then, while making lunch, I had the following train of thought, and decided that the mediocre and uninsightful ramblings of a man whose economic training consists of an introductory macroeconomics course at Carnegie Mellon University is something for which the interwebs (or, at least, my
So, hey, no big secret, but I think these "computer" and "internet" things are gonna be big. Productivity in the last, say, 15-20 years has probably grown pretty f'n astronomically, and pretty consistently so over any sub-period of that timeframe. Yet, at the same time, wage inequality has also grown astronomically, while median income has pretty much stagnated (especially so over the past 8 years). If you want to get an idea of just how much the benefits of the productivity boom have gone to those at the top... well, I don't have the numbers or charts handy, but just go search Matt or Ezra a bit and you'll have no trouble finding them. (Klein Sucks! Yglesias Rules!*)
Anyway, while chipping off bits of my big block of parmigiano-reggiano, I was thinking about the market failure of this all, and how it'd make another good entry for my continuing series: "How to Talk to a Libertarian (If You Must)." As such:
Productivity goes up => Value of 1 man-hour of labor goes up
Value of 1 man-hour of labor goes up *SHOULD* => Cost of 1 man-hour of labor goes up
Value of 1 man-hour of labor goes up & Cost of 1 man-hour of labor stagnates => *MARKET FAIL*
And, thus, the libertarians are chastened, and we all celebrate into the night while burning Ayn Rand in effigy. Huzzah!
Unfortunately, I then realized this factor as well:
Productivity goes up => Cost of produced goods goes down
Cost of goods goes down => Joe the
Joe needs less money => Joe's opportunity costs go down (i.e., since Joe needs less money, Joe can willingly take a job that pays less and still get by)
Joe's opportunity costs go down => Cost of 1 hour of Joe-labor goes down.
So, what does all this increased productivity mean? Well, if my one semester of introductory macroeconomics taught me anything, its that People = Pig Iron, and we can model this all with supply and demand curves!
Because one man-hour of labor produces more, one man-hour is worth more, so people will want to buy more man-hours (men-hour?). Ergo, demand curve shifts right!
At the same time, products are cheaper, so people's opportunity costs are down, and they're willing to supply one man-hour for less. Ergo (because I need to be symmetrical, natch), supply curve shifts left! And what do we get? Equipoise!**
So, in other words, as we continue to follow Moore's Law and double our technology every year-and-a-half, the benefits will all accrue to our Capitalist overlords thanks to the magical invisible hands of the free market. Its enough to make you want to go read a Manga adaptation of Das Kapital.***
* This is an inside joke - population: Me. I may use it again in the future. You have been warned.
** Well, realistically, probably not, but close enough for blogging.
*** The Answer? Well, I've got a suggestion...
UPDATE: Relatedly, this. Yet more evidence that Klein sucks, Yglesias rules.
LIKE, A WEEK LATER UPDATE: Right! Supply curve shifts Right! Equipoise in wage, but more people employed! Man, I can't believe I mistyped that...

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